James Delingpole reviews The Heartland’s Climate Conference.
Personal Blog of Bruno Behrend, social and political commentary designed to move people to the right, one conversation at a time
James Delingpole reviews The Heartland’s Climate Conference.
Maybe it means Phil Jones has a conscience
Der Speigel (Germany) seem to be getting hip to the collapse of the Global Warming Scam.
Life has become “awful” for Phil Jones. Just a few months ago, he was a man with an enviable reputation: the head of the Climate Research Unit (CRU) at the University of East Anglia in Norwich, England, an expert in his field and the father of an alarming global temperature curve that apparently showed how the Earth was heating up as a result of anthropogenic global warming.
Those days are now gone.
Nowadays, Jones, who is at the center of the “Climategate” affair involving hacked CRU emails, needs medication to fall sleep. He feels a constant tightness in his chest. He takes beta-blockers to help him get through the day. He is gaunt and his skin is pallid. He is 57, but he looks much older. He was at the center of a research scandal that hit him as unexpectedly as a rear-end collision on the highway.
My American Enterprise Institute colleagues Kenneth Green and Steven Hayward provide a pithy summary of this long article in Germany’s Der Spiegel entitled “A Superstorm for Global Warming Research.” Green and Hayward write:
“Far from parroting the ‘settled science’ canard, Der Spiegel points to many ‘open questions’ of the science, and says ‘anyone who speaks with leading climatologists today will discover how many questions remain open. The media, politicians and even scientists often talk about changes to the weather with a certainty that does not in fact exist.’ The authors are even willing to raise the ultimate heretical question: ‘Will the situation on the planet truly spin out of control if the average global temperature increases by more than two degrees Celsius?’
For a more pungent appreciation of the Der Spiegel article, read the Daily Telegraph’s James Delingpole. Sample: “When the Germans say Auf widersehen AGW [anthropogenic global warming], it really is time for the rest of the world to sit up and take notice.”
The Wall Street Journal started writing Op-Eds in the 80s that started to make the point that Environmentalism, as practiced by the intransigent ideologues of the left, looked more like a religion than a science (or even a political movement).
Now, with the faked science behind anthropic global warming collapsing, the environmentalists are calling for their first “High Priest.” It’s delicious to see this actually happen.
It’s an exceptionally inconvenient truth. Only one American in three believes that human beings are responsible for climate change: a polling result 10% down on where opinion rested the year before. Worse, the number of Americans who believe that climate change is a hoax or a scientific conspiracy – not doubting, just damned blank certain – has doubled since 2008. Add in those who assert that the changes, if any, are of “no significant concern”, and you’ve got 30% of the US denying, scoffing and just walking on by.
Are the issues clearer, the people more committed, here in Britain? Call for the latest evidence from Ipsos Mori – and find that the proportion of UK adults who believe that global warming is “definitely” a reality has plummeted from 44% to 31% in the last 12 months. Figures like these, on both sides of the Atlantic, are getting more sceptical week by week. The real change of electoral climate is that fewer and fewer voters pay any heed to scientists and politicians.
None of it has a ring of renewed confidence. And the plain fact is that we surely need a prophet, not yet another committee. We need one passionate, persuasive scientist who can connect and convince – not because he preaches apocalypse in gory detail, but in simple, overwhelming terms. We need to be taught to believe by a true believer in a world where belief is the fatal, missing ingredient.
Indeed, we need a False Prophet, so that government can become more powerful and corrupt energy companies and investment banks can make a false profit.
In those rare moments where I’m NOT convinced that Al Gore is a complete idiot, I’m convinced that he’s engaged in a criminal enterprise to enrich himself. Either way, he should be imprisoned or institutionalized.
…just as I’ve been predicting since before I started blogging it 2004
* Data for vital ‘hockey stick graph’ has gone missing
* There has been no global warming since 1995
* Warming periods have happened before – but NOT due to man-made changes
The academic at the centre of the ‘Climategate’ affair, whose raw data is crucial to the theory of climate change, has admitted that he has trouble ‘keeping track’ of the information.
Colleagues say that the reason Professor Phil Jones has refused Freedom of Information requests is that he may have actually lost the relevant papers.
Professor Jones told the BBC yesterday there was truth in the observations of colleagues that he lacked organisational skills, that his office was swamped with piles of paper and that his record keeping is ‘not as good as it should be’.
The data is crucial to the famous ‘hockey stick graph’ used by climate change advocates to support the theory.
Professor Jones also conceded the possibility that the world was warmer in medieval times than now – suggesting global warming may not be a man-made phenomenon.
And he said that for the past 15 years there has been no ‘statistically significant’ warming.
This has been known all along by some of these folks, and I’m hoping there will some indictments, but I doubt it. There are people who should do prison time for promoting what they knew was a lie. Al Gore would do. He’s always wanted to be a religious figure. Let’s nail him up.
The United Nations climate panel faces a new challenge with scientists casting doubt on its claim that global temperatures are rising inexorably because of human pollution.
In its last assessment the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) said the evidence that the world was warming was “unequivocal”.
It warned that greenhouse gases had already heated the world by 0.7C and that there could be 5C-6C more warming by 2100, with devastating impacts on humanity and wildlife. However, new research, including work by British scientists, is casting doubt on such claims. Some even suggest the world may not be warming much at all.
“The temperature records cannot be relied on as indicators of global change,” said John Christy, professor of atmospheric science at the University of Alabama in Huntsville, a former lead author on the IPCC.
The doubts of Christy and a number of other researchers focus on the thousands of weather stations around the world, which have been used to collect temperature data over the past 150 years.
These stations, they believe, have been seriously compromised by factors such as urbanisation, changes in land use and, in many cases, being moved from site to site.
“Without education we are in a horrible and deadly danger of taking educated people seriously.”
I wear the label ‘anthropic global warming denier’ with pride. All it takes is a bit of education in science (PV=nRT, earth science, evaporation) to know right off the bat that AGW is nonsense.
We all need to become educated enough to ignore the politicized “experts.”
Scientists, you are fallible. Get off the pedestal and join the common herd
So scientists are human after all. They are no different from bankers, politicians, lawyers, estate agents and perhaps even journalists. They cheat. They make mistakes. They suppress truth and suggest falsity, especially when a cheque or a plane ticket is on offer. As for self-criticism, that is for you, not me.
I am just ready to believe that the antics of the climate change scientists, revealed in this week’s Guardian and elsewhere, have no impact on the facts of global warming. But then I must rely on those same scientists to say so. The Yamal-12 larches may be dodgy, the hockey stick limp and the Amazon stats subject to re-evaluation. The date of 2035 for a Himalayan apocalypse may have been a misprint for 2350 and 40,000 comments didn’t spot it. But so what, they all say? The world is coming to an end because we are scientists and, like Nostradamus, we know.
What any layman must find alarming is the paranoia and exclusivity of the climate change community. The preparation of the 2007 report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) was apparently like that of a party manifesto. Data was suppressed and criticism ignored. The IPCC’s chairman, Rajendra Pachauri, dismissed sceptics as adherents of “voodoo science”. Dark hints were made of commercial interest and Holocaust denial.
Now barely a week passes without another of the “thousands and thousands of papers” Pachauri calls in evidence having its peer-review credentials questioned. Their authors may plead that the evidence remains strong and theirs is no more than what lawyers call “noble cause corruption”. Anyone reading the University of East Anglia emails might conclude they would say that, wouldn’t they. Yet Pachauri this week issued a Blairite refusal of all regrets for the chaos into which his sloppiness has plunged his organisation.
Over on his blog at Foreign Policy, the always interesting and engaging political scientist Daniel Drezner raises some important questions about science and politics. Drezner looks at the interaction between populist critics of the science consensus and the guardians of that consensus — specifically at the debate between those who think that vaccinations may promote or cause autism and those (the overwhelming majority of scientists who’ve studied the issue) who think the link is totally bogus. As with the science on climate change I generally assume the main body of scientists are more reliable than their critics unless something very much out of the ordinary is going on.
Dan is surprised and disturbed that on issues like vaccination and climate change these controversies keep erupting. Not being a political scientist I’m in no position to give Dan a fully fleshed out theory, but in a seat-of-the-pants way I do have some ideas.
When a scientific question is of no interest to the general public — are the greater and lesser spotted skinks members the same species or of two different ones, for example — then scientists are left to settle this among themselves and nobody much is going to question the results of normal scientific procedures. But when science has broader public implications — for example, that cigarettes cause cancer or that every child in the country should be vaccinated against a certain disease — then its findings are going to be scrutinized and argued over in a political context and scientists can expect to have their findings and their methods assailed by all kinds of people whose interests are affected one way or another by their results.
And not a moment too soon…
The global warming movement as we have known it is dead. Its health had been in steady decline during the last year as the once robust hopes for a strong and legally binding treaty to be agreed upon at the Copenhagen Summit faded away. By the time that summit opened, campaigners were reduced to hoping for a ‘politically binding’ agreement to be agreed that would set the stage for the rapid adoption of the legally binding treaty. After the failure of the summit to agree to even that much, the movement went into a rapid decline.
The movement died from two causes: bad science and bad politics.
After years in which global warming activists had lectured everyone about the overwhelming nature of the scientific evidence, it turned out that the most prestigious agencies in the global warming movement were breaking laws, hiding data, and making inflated, bogus claims resting on, in some cases, no scientific basis at all. This latest story in the London Times is yet another shocker; the IPCC’s claims that the rainforests were going to disappear as a result of global warming are as bogus and fraudulent as its claims that the Himalayan glaciers would melt by 2035. It seems as if a scare story could grab a headline, the IPCC simply didn’t care about whether it was reality-based.
I get a kick out of lefties calling themselves “reality-based.” Like the typical arch-liberal isn’t as, or more, intolerant than the most angry conservative activist.
The link below is to a good editorial from a Las Vegas paper. I just think the editorial writer missed the main point.
Has there ever been a more pitiful example of misguided nonsense, aggressive idiocy and functional stupidity than last week’s climate change conference in Copenhagen?
The weeklong orgy of excess — to which most participants arrived in plush, carbon-emitting private jets and were shuttled around in limos — was nothing more than another leftist shakedown of wealthy nations on behalf of “developing” countries. This time in the name of saving the planet.
Promoting panic in the name of global warming is the Trojan horse for those who seek to overhaul the world economy by subverting capitalism and advancing collectivism. There is absolutely no evidence that mandating strict carbon emission standards will do anything at all to solve the perceived problem. Instead, we were treated to another U.N. gathering at which Third World hacks such as Hugo Chavez are applauded while Western ideals are dismissed and derided.
Instead of offering more and more handouts, President Obama should have stood tall and explained that wealthy nations are wealthy for a reason: They stand atop political and cultural institutions that respect private property, contract law, individual liberty and capitalism.
Here is my question for the editorial writer. What evidence is there, after nearly one year in office, that Obama himself respects “private property, contract law, individual liberty and capitalism.” To me, it seems clear that he wishes to destroy all of the above, and as quickly as possible.
It is a wonderful thing to see the loss of stature of Obama, along with the crushing defeat of exceedingly bad policy, all happen in one instance. The “Climategate” emails, combined with the obscene (and unnecessary) price tag in a time of global recession, killed this deal. This is a good thing.
Copenhagen Accord is branded “abject failure” by activists (Deutsche Welle, 12/19/09)
The Truths Copenhagen Ignored (Johann Hari, 19 December, 2009, The Independent)
With Climate Agreement, Obama Guts Progressive Values (Bill McKibben, 19 December, 2009, Grist.org)
Climate fiasco in Copenhagen: After 12 days of negotiations, the world climate conference in Copenhagen has proven a failure. (Henrik Boehme, 12/19/09, Deutsche Welle)
Copenhagen called climate ‘crime scene’ (New Zealand Herald, Dec 20, 2009)
Scientists underwhelmed by Copenhagen Accord: What many had hoped would be a planet-saving treaty came out as a three-page political accord with key numbers yet to be filled in.. (Javno, 12/19/09)
Under Obama, the Left feels left out (BEN SMITH & JONATHAN MARTIN, 12/19/09, Politico)
Talk About a Climate Catastrophe: The deal Obama brought home from Copenhagen wasn’t just weak—it wasn’t even really a deal. David Roberts on what went wrong—and what Obama has to do next. (David Roberts, 12/19/09, Daily Beast)
Gunning Full Throttle into the Greenhouse (An Editorial by Markus Becker in Copenhagen, 12/19/09, Der Spiegel)
Candidate flip, president flop: Obama crushes a medication policy he’d vowed to endorse. Such bogus election-year promises undermine democracy (David Sirota, 12/18/09, Salon)
Copenhagen climate conference: global warming talks meltdown (Louise Gray, 19 Dec 2009, Daily Telegraph)
Climate Pact Falls Short (JEFFREY BALL, STEPHEN POWER and ELIZABETH WILLIAMSON, 12/18/09, WSJ)
Low targets, goals dropped: Copenhagen ends in failure: Deal thrashed out at talks condemned as climate change scepticism in action (John Vidal, Allegra Stratton and Suzanne Goldenberg, guardian.co.uk)
The first one of these can be found on their site, or on YouTube. It is funny and enlightening. This one, shown below, should be sent to your liberal and moderate friends far and wide.
The video is of appearance on WPWR’s (Channel 50) “Perspective” program a few months ago. You may be interested in the other 3 guests, as they make the conventional case for dumping more money into a failed education system. If not, my stint starts at the 11:22 mark.